Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014773 0.018321 0.022935 0.029562 0.039177 0.053227 0.076620
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.010542 0.014306 0.019918 0.029482 0.046832 0.080871 0.167717
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.008639 0.012420 0.018596 0.030498 0.056292 0.122618 0.400453
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.007320 0.010955 0.017288 0.030679 0.064240 0.175240 1.030579
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006198 0.009518 0.015555 0.029153 0.067035 0.220882 2.575559
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005449 0.008562 0.014445 0.028502 0.071941 0.292673 11.089897
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.005076 0.008200 0.014388 0.030320 0.086935 0.494037 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004852 0.008067 0.014758 0.033460 0.111881 1.048448 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004647 0.007929 0.015080 0.036698 0.144383 2.754891 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004307 0.007462 0.014524 0.036937 0.162064 5.954352 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004019 0.007061 0.014047 0.037257 0.182587 17.230381 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003661 0.006467 0.012976 0.035007 0.179736 29.371747 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003315 0.005901 0.011982 0.033107 0.181846 90.869181 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003074 0.005540 0.011468 0.032955 0.203357 999753.098331 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002911 0.005324 0.011292 0.034139 0.247568 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002736 0.005060 0.010929 0.034351 0.284630 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002525 0.004691 0.010204 0.032568 0.285179 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002366 0.004425 0.009730 0.031809 0.304548 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002296 0.004356 0.009819 0.033931 0.406114 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002259 0.004364 0.010140 0.037614 0.622666 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002219 0.004359 0.010421 0.041434 0.996895 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002121 0.004196 0.010161 0.041717 1.222193 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002032 0.004049 0.009931 0.042097 1.530553 NaN NaN